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Automakers Mull Engine Alternatives An Excellent article from FORBES Magazine AUTOMOTIVE INNOVATION Innovation Hits the Road The family car and truck is a cornucopia of forward thinking and ingenuity. In the 1950s and 1960s, during what is frequently termed the peak of American automotive enthusiasm, innovation consisted largely of restyling a car's exterior each year. Although some of the styling this attitude produced was undeniably spectacular, genuine innovation was at a premium. Virtually every American car still used a carburetor to get fuel to the engine, used fade-prone drum brakes to stop, had suspension systems that made tight cornering a disquieting undertaking and ran on tires that might or might not last for 7,500 miles. Probably not. As difficult as it is to believe in light of what's happened to cars and trucks in recent years, the cars driven by most Americans in 1965 or even 1970 differed little from the cars in which the populace rode in 1935 or 1940. The difference between the cars of 1970 and the cars of today, however, is greater than any of us might have imagined three decades ago. Tires, for example, routinely last for 40,000 or 50,000 miles, and the once-familiar flat tire seems as foreign to today's younger drivers as a pop-top soft-drink can. Cars are sold today that need no tune-up (a phrase that sounds as archaic as the practice has become) before 50,000 or 65,000 or even 100,000 miles have passed. When Jaguar introduced its XJ8, it recommended that new spark plugs be installed after 100,000 miles. In the future, more advances await the consumer, including cars powered by electricity, hybrid electric/internal combustion or alternative fuels. The computer is nowhere put to better use than in the auto industry. Consider that computers today are used to design, help build, operate and even sell cars. Computers make possible precision in manufacturing that was once only a dream. Computers even measure and calibrate the accuracy of other computers. They help engines and transmissions move a car more efficiently and with fewer harmful emissions. A modern car may have as many as 30 or 40 microprocessors tucked away in its structure, most of them doing jobs electronically that were once done manually. What explains the proliferation of seemingly endless innovation? All of these advancements, and others that we will examine, are driven by one of three things: government regulation, competition or consumer needs and wants. Without government regulation, it's doubtful that cars would be as safe or as clean as they are. Competition, which repeatedly proves to be a more efficient motivator than regulation, continually pushes outward the horizons of what makes a good vehicle. The consumer, as the ultimate arbiter, lets the manufacturers know by pocketbook vote what area of innovation makes one car or truck superior to another. This last factor has led to stunning advancements in, for example, electronic engine control, where cold-weather starting problems and frequent tune-ups have become little more than memories. It has also led to some odd contributions to creature comfort: the installation of as many as 18 cup holders in some minivans! To examine the current state of automotive innovation, we have divided the subject into six areas: design, product, environment, manufacturing and safety. William Jeanes has written about automobiles for more than a quarter-century. He was group publisher of Hachette Filipacchi Magines Automotive Group (Car and Driver, Road & Track, Open Road) from 1993 to 1997, served as editor-in-chief of Car and Driver from 1987 to 1993 and was the founding editor of Classic Automobile Register. His articles have appeared in Sports Illustrated, American Heritage, Playboy, Parade, Air & Space, Smithsonian, The New York Times and others. Jeanes is past president of the American Racing Press Association, and he was the 1996 recipient of the Mario Andretti Excellence in Media Award. Once, it could take as long as six to eight years to bring a new car or truck from the concept stage to the showroom. Today, thanks to computer-aided design (CAD) and computer component testing, a new vehicle can move rapidly through the design stage. The vehicle can have its various component prototypes not only designed and assembled with an eye toward weight, efficiency and serviceability, but also have these tested by the computer. These systems have made it possible to eliminate months of actual component design and hundreds of thousands of miles of on-road prototype testing. Using digital computers to design components allows designers and engineers to see how parts will look (the design software permits a three-dimensional look at a part before it ever exists) and how they will be used in conjunction with other parts to make a subassembly. There are obvious time efficiencies in such a process, but even more important is an engineer's consequent ability to try design variations and select the absolute best for ultimate use. "Paperless" Cars A consortium of manufacturers that includes Audi, BMW, Ford, Renault and Volvo is working with Mechanical Dynamics to produce a software system called ADAMS/Car, a specialized vehicle simulation environment that will allow automotive engineers to accurately simulate the real-world behavior of their designs for entire vehicles, including assemblies such as suspensions, power trains, engines and steering mechanisms. Simulations can also include traction control, antilock braking and other control systems. "Users can exercise ADAMS/Car models under various road conditions, performing every maneuver normally run on a test track," explains Michael Guttilla of Mechanical Dynamics. "They can accurately predict handling characteristics, ride quality, vehicle safety and performance parameters all on the computer, and all before building a single hardware prototype." Thus can an engineering team quickly examine hundreds or thousands of design variations, testing and refining the design until they optimize system performance. This can help reduce the number of costly physical prototypes, improve design quality and significantly shorten product-development cycles. Manufacturers are concerned about the length of time it takes to get a new concept into the marketplace because a company that has the ability to do so quickly can respond to changing marketplace conditions and consumer buying trends. Toyota recently created a new compact minivan, the Ipsum, for its home market in 19 months from concept approval to showroom. It is sometimes risky to compare development times because each automaker, here and abroad, defines "project approval" differently. When the public starting gun is fired on a new car, one company may have already completed significantly more design work than another. In any event, most manufacturers seem to believe that a 24-month time frame is possible and are working toward achieving it. Ride and Handling The next step in design innovation will likely involve virtual reality simulators that will give engineers and designers the actual sensory feel of a product that does not yet exist. The type of situations and testing that can thus be "experienced" in the laboratory will be limited only by the imagination of the designers and engineers. Supplier Contributions Dana Corporation, for example, provides complete packages of drivetrain and structural components. It can supply individual parts such as coil springs or shock absorbers for a front-end subassembly, or it can provide the entire subassembly, which might include a subframe, the front suspension components, brakes and steering. Once, automakers handed suppliers a blueprint and instructed them to build what they saw. Today, suppliers and automakers work together to create what's on that blueprint which might well be contained on a computer disk.
Do you know when and where the first computer appeared in an automobile? The year was 1968, the car was a Volkswagen and a Bosch computer controlled the air/fuel mixture fed to the engine's combustion chambers. Since that time, microprocessors have proliferated in cars, to the extent that having two or three dozen of the tiny miracle workers, which control everything from power windows to fuel injection, is by no means unusual. Volvo's new S80 sedan, for example, incorporates an operating system made of 18 computers divided between two networks, one for the engine compartment and the other assigned to the passenger compartment (the engine compartment computers are faster) and connected by a central control module. Some luxury cars have as many as 45 microprocessors available to do the driver's and the car's bidding. The Computer at Work The engine. Engines run cleaner, more efficiently and longer because computers keep operating conditions as close to optimum as modern computer science allows which is close indeed. The transmission. Automatic transmissions shift at the most comfortable and efficient speed, at points determined by a computer that can sense not only the road conditions (altitude, incline, etc.) but also the driver's heaviness or lightness of foot. The accelerator. Once, the accelerator, known as the gas pedal, was connected by a series of rods and joints to the fuel supply, and it mechanically increased or decreased the flow to the engine. No more. Your accelerator is not connected mechanically to the fuel system. Rather, it sends electronic signals to the computer-controlled engine-management system. Safety systems. Such things as traction control, antilock braking systems and air bags are computer controlled. Information and diagnostic systems. A self-diagnosis system that allows a dealer or repair shop to perform electronic troubleshooting, a feature on virtually every car, would not work without computer chips. Nor would all the information provided to the driver in the form of digital readouts, warning lights and even the low-fuel alert message. And that's just scratching the surface (which was applied, by the way, by a computer-controlled painting system). Other computer-controlled items include the climate system, audio equipment and power accessories. Shifting by Thumb Future Computers Imagine traveling down a remote road late at night and having a problem with your car's engine. Rather than having to stop and seek help, the problem is solved by diagnostic systems hundreds or thousands of miles away. Your car would send a signal to the manufacturer, who would diagnose the problem and, where possible, transmit corrective instructions back to your car. If that same problem was fixable and might occur in all cars of that model, an electronic message could be sent to every one of them. Another use of this system and one that is similar to the onboard recording devices used to assess the performance of some racing cars might be to send all performance information back to the manufacturer's product-development experts, permitting real-world experience to more quickly effect changes in subsequent models. Here again, improvements would reach the consumer more rapidly. "That's good for consumers and it's a competitive advantage for business," IBM CEO Louis Gerstner told attendees at a trade show in Hanover, Germany, where a prototype of the system was shown. Systems such as this one could have wide-ranging uses. The vehicle's location could be monitored on the Internet, for example, using existing global positioning technology in conjunction with passwords that would assure privacy. In the event of a disabling accident, the vehicle's location could be transmitted to the nearest law-enforcement or highway-safety agency. Recorded books and music could be downloaded by voice command from the Internet and played in the car. The possibilities, if not actually endless, are limited only by your imagination. Others are at work on these futuristic computer applications, which IBM executives estimate will take 12 to 18 months for the first versions to appear, and three to five years for full network operability. GM, in cooperation with Microsoft, has already exhibited a 1999 Saab equipped with an onboard PC based on Windows. "It demonstrates what's more feasible in the very near term," says Ed Dilley, senior development engineer for automotive electronics at Delphi's Delco Electronics unit. Some product improvements are achieved by using computer-aided engineering to simplify existing components. The engine in the current Toyota Corolla, for example, has 560 parts. That's a lot of bits and pieces, but it is much fewer than the 741 parts its predecessor contained. The new engine, a 1.8-liter dual overhead camshaft four cylinder, helped Toyota reduce the price of the new Corolla in the U.S. by more than $1,000 from that of the previous version. Not only that, the new engine weighs 64 pounds, about 10% less than its predecessor, and generates 120 horsepower, a 15% increase. It's no wonder that Toyota has earned a reputation as an efficient automaker. Comfort Is Included
The auto industry, its critics and the public at large continue to ask what, if anything, will ever replace the internal combustion engine? And when will it do so? The internal combustion engine, first used in an automobile by Gottlieb Daimler in 1885, is not going away soon. But even as the industry works with remarkable success to make the internal combustion engine cleaner and more efficient, new technological applications loom in its future. During a press conference at this year's North American International Auto Show, GM Chairman Jack Smith said, "No car company will be able to thrive in the 21st century solely with the internal combustion engine." The auto show, held in Detroit each January, provides an excellent forum for manufacturers to exhibit vehicles that reach into the future for their fuel and power sources. Electric Cars The first vehicle to use power from nickel-metal-hydride batteries was the Honda EV-Plus, and like the EV1 it was designed from the start as an electric vehicle, whereas most electric vehicles are conversions of existing platforms. The EV-Plus can be leased in California. The electric version of Toyota's RAV4 also uses this type of battery, and it will soon appear in GM's EV1 and Chevy S10 electric pickup. Nissan is testing its Altra EV, powered by lithium-ion batteries, in California, and a company spokesperson says that the car may be available to the public in two years. Also waiting in our future are ultra-capacitors. These systems store electrical energy much like batteries but can provide intermittent surges of high power. Keep in mind, as Keith Crain wrote in Automotive News, that practical electric vehicles have been "five years away" as far back as most of us can remember. Fuel Cells The device has proved effective in laboratory situations for more than three decades, and fuel cells have been used to produce power in NASA's space programs. Virtually every major manufacturer has a fuel-cell vehicle in the works, but none is likely to reach the market before 2004. Daimler-Benz, soon to become DaimlerChrysler, introduced its first fuel cell four years ago, and is joining forces with Ford and Ballard Power Systems of Canada to produce as many as 100,000 fuel-cell-powered cars annually, beginning in 2004. General Motors also has a fuel-cell vehicle on the computer screen, and Toyota has a fuel-cell development program under way. Chrysler, noting the absence of a hydrogen distribution infrastructure, is examining the use of gasoline to produce the hydrogen for its fuel cell, a process that would occur onboard the vehicle. Alternative Fuels Most manufacturers already have alternative-fuel vehicles on the road, and some of them are dual-fuel, meaning that they can switch from one fuel to another gasoline to ethanol, for example. Flexible-fuel vehicles use a mixture of gasoline and alcohol. Many of the alternative-fuel vehicles on the market are powered by compressed natural gas, which was one of the earliest alternative fuels to be commonly used. In addition to the factors already mentioned, alternative-fuel vehicles are hampered by the lack of a national infrastructure. If alternative fuels were suddenly available in every service station, increased usage would likely result as would increased research and development of alternative fuels. Despite the lack of an infrastructure, manufacturers are pressing on. Chrysler became the first major automaker to introduce certified low-, ultra-low and zero-emission vehicles, and 40% of its minivans have the flexibility to run on unleaded gasoline, E-85 (a compound of 85% gasoline and 15% ethanol blend) or any combination of the two. "Natural gas will be the next major fuel, and the internal combustion engine will continue to be the dominant technology," says Dr. Steve Cousins of Cranfield University's International Ecotechnology Research Centre. Hybrid Vehicles Most hybrid concept vehicles that manufacturers have produced use an internal combustion engine and an electric motor. In a "series" hybrid, the gasoline (or diesel) engine generates electricity, which powers the wheels. This system is similar to that used in "diesel" locomotives which are really diesel-electrics. In a "parallel" hybrid, either power source can be used to power the wheels. The Prius is a parallel hybrid and uses the electric motor until the car accelerates to 12 mph, the speed below which gasoline engine emissions are at their worst. Once 12 mph is attained, the car's gasoline engine takes over. When maximum power is required, on a steep incline for example, the electric motor returns to action. While the Prius operates on gasoline power, the engine recharges the electric motor's batteries, eliminating the need for at-rest charging from an outside power source. A number of European manufacturers, and Chrysler, Ford and GM here in the United States, have shown working prototypes of hybrids that could go on sale in seven to ten years. The increased fuel efficiency and reduced emissions make the hybrid an attractive concept, but as long as gasoline is sold as cheaply in this country as it is at present, the hybrid will suffer from consumer resistance to small, efficient automobiles. Flywheels The Unique flywheel uses incoming electricity from the engine or regenerative braking to spin the composite rotor to a very high speed, storing the energy kinetically. To draw power from the flywheel, the process is reversed, and the spinning wheel drives its motor/generator to convert efficiently the kinetic energy back into electricity. A Smog-Eating Radiator The low-cost device is a catalyst system that, when applied to a vehicle's radiator, destroys ozone with which it comes in contact. The technology was developed by Engelhard Corporation, a New Jersey company that in 1976 built the three-way catalytic converter used on most cars today to reduce exhaust emissions. The new device involves coating a vehicle's radiator with a base-metal catalyst. Then, as air passes over the radiator, ozone the main component of smog is converted into oxygen, thereby improving the atmosphere. Recycled Cars As the use of new materials, particularly plastic, rises in new cars, the amount of weight per vehicle could fall from its present level. One automaker, BMW, has begun to address this potential problem. BMW has integrated environmental and recycling criteria into the earliest stages of its new-vehicle development cycle. BMW considers a vehicle's life to be a closed system, encompassing development, manufacture, use and recycling. Not only does the German company consider the raw materials and natural resources consumed during production, but it carefully selects these materials with a view toward their eventual suitability for recycling. BMW's concerns go all the way toward reducing emissions in the cars it builds and at the factories where they are made. BMW is by no means the only manufacturer with a "green" attitude, but the company took one of the earliest public stances on environmental issues. Progress at the Pump One of the results of this cooperation has been the creation of oxygenated gas, which enhances the combustion process inside the engine. Beginning six years ago, service stations in certain pollution-plagued urban areas were required to sell oxygenated fuel in the winter months. The EPA says the program has been instrumental in reducing the number of days these areas exceeded federal carbon-monoxide standards. An oil industry spokesperson estimates that the oxygenation process adds three to five cents per gallon to the price of gasoline at the pump. The Greening of Detroit In 1991, Detroit's Big Three automakers formed a group called the Vehicle Recycling Partnership (VRP) to study new vehicle designs and components that would simplify and expand recycling efforts. One example of the VRP's efforts involves reducing the number of different plastics used in a subassembly, such as a dashboard, which can incorporate more than a dozen disparate plastic materials. Cutting this number in half would be a major positive step. Polypropylene will likely emerge as the front-runner as the number of plastic variants decreases, subsequently lessening dependence on PVC and polyester. Polypropylene already accounts for one-third of the plastic used by the auto industry, and this is expected to rise by 50% in the next few years. Dr. Sandy Labana, who heads the VRP, says that it has achieved its goal of finding ways to remove 95% of a to-be-recycled car's or truck's fluids (i.e., fuel, oil, transmission fluid, etc.) in 20 minutes or less. According to Dr. Labana, at this improved rate of removal, draining a vehicle's fluids as opposed to dumping them becomes profitable to a recycler.
All too often, automaking's most difficult and costly step manufacturing is overlooked when the subject of innovation arises. Nothing could be more unjust. The progress of manufacturing is arguably the industry's most stunning showcase for advancement. We have already become familiar with such things as robotics, laser measurement, effective teaming among the technicians who assemble cars and constant improvements in quality control. Some examples of current innovations in manufacturing are, however, worthy of note. Precision Measurement One of the engines used in the Jeep Grand Cherokee is a 4.7-liter V-8 with aluminum cylinder heads. The precision machining system that finishes the heads at Chrysler's new Mack Avenue Engine Plant in Detroit can measure its performance with startling accuracy. "Our systems can hold tolerances to within 10 microns, approximately one-sixth the width of a human hair, throughout a production run that could well exceed 500,000 engines annually," says Charles E. Wolfbauer, president of Lamb Technicon Machining Systems, which provided the system to Chrysler. The consumer benefit: precision and repeatability that ensures superior emissions performance, reliability and fuel efficiency from every engine sold. New Materials Advancements continue in the application of one of the oldest materials used in the manufacture of vehicles: steel. The auto and steel industries have developed thinner, lighter-weight steel that does not sacrifice strength. Steel remains a useful, economical material whose potential has by no means been completely realized. Mitsubishi has developed a strong, lightweight compound material that is 25% lighter than fiberglass. This compound is already in use in the roof-rack rails and brackets on the company's newly introduced Pajero sport-utility vehicle. Magnesium, another lightweight metal, may also see increased applications. Once avoided because it is a highly combustible substance, magnesium alloys will likely be used in such locations as seat frames and dashboards (as braces), where the material is not exposed. These safer magnesium alloys could also replace aluminum in transmission housings and engine blocks. The appearance of more and more new materials in production vehicles reflects the determination of automakers to develop and utilize them in the assembly of new vehicles, rarely an easy task. Fighting the Weight Battle About half of the weight increase is due to new safety devices (air bags, side-impact girders and related systems). Emission-control equipment added 20 pounds, and creature comforts added in response to consumer demand stacked on another 80 pounds. Because a vehicle's body represents between 20% and 30% of the total weight, it's easy to see why aluminum which could reduce a full-size car's weight by as much as 300 pounds might make sense, once manufacturing operations are adapted to its use. A weight loss of that magnitude could allow a V-6 engine to provide the same or nearly the same performance as a V-8 because less weight requires less horsepower. This is the reason that we will likely see aluminium used in more and more engine-building applications. As for extracting more power from V-6 engines, the modern application of an established power-enhancing device called a supercharger deserves mention. The 1999 Buick Park Avenue Ultra's 3800 Series II engine (a 3.8-liter V-6) is equipped with a supercharger, which increases the volume of air in the engine's six cylinders and makes the combustion cycle more efficient. More efficiency translates into higher horsepower 240 for the supercharged engine and 205 for the normally aspirated 3800 V-6 and, in the case of the Park Avenue Ultra, permits a V-6-powered luxury car to deliver performance that most drivers would associate with a larger engine. Building a Plastic Car This manufacturing-driven approach for fast and easy assembly resulted in a number of innovations: The number of pieces required to produce the vehicle was cut by 75%, to about 1,100. The body consists of only four large composite sections that are fit and bonded together. And it is the first all-injection molded car where the only use of steel is in the frame chassis. Mercedes-Benz's Smart car, about to go on sale in Germany, seats two and has interchangeable plastic body panels that permit an entire new exterior to be installed in less than one hour. The body is scratch-resistant and lightweight. The merger of Daimler-Benz (Mercedes-Benz's parent) and Chrysler, and the interest of both companies in plastic materials for automaking, could speed the growth of plastics use in the United States.
It seems difficult to believe the idea of selecting a car for its safety features was once as foreign to motorists as the horse and buggy. But this has changed. Most though not enough Americans use their seat belts, the basic first step in occupant safety, and most believe in the overall efficacy of air bags, despite some recent bad publicity involving unexpected deployment. Injuries from air bag deployment unexpected or otherwise have involved a disproportionate number of small women, leading the U.S. secretary of transportation to call for crash dummies that replicate women of small stature. Previously, crash dummies were adult males only, although for many years, safety experts at General Motors have focused on the unique needs of women in crashes. More and more attention has also been given to child safety. We've come a long way since the days when a mother rode in the front seat with her child in her arms. Child-safety seats, now built into many products, are a staple of child rearing. Today, safety is of paramount concern to everyone involved in automaking, from manufacturers to suppliers, to the government and to consumers. Automated Highway Development The system, being developed by a government-private industry consortium, uses a typical American family sedan, the Buick LeSabre. The car debuted last summer in a demonstration held at an off-highway site, and 10 of them are now operated by non-researchers over a specially fitted stretch of Interstate 15 near San Diego, Calif. The LeSabre "robocars" have been fitted with magnetometers, sensors and computers that are mounted in small boxes on the front and rear bumpers. The devices detect magnetic fields emitted by cigar-shaped ceramic magnets implanted every four feet along the roadway. A Pentium computer then processes this data and controls a servomotor added to the LeSabre's power-steering system. To maintain speed and a safe distance from other vehicles, a sensitive radar system precisely locates the cars ahead and behind. Radar sensors communicate with the onboard computer, which can instantaneously control the brake and throttle functions. One journalist says, "When all the systems are working, driving becomes riding. It's an eerie feeling to be sitting behind a steering wheel which turns itself while you try to keep your right foot away from the brake and accelerator pedals." Eventually, as highways equipped for automated operation increase, automated-highway components will be integrated into future vehicles. Anti-Whiplash In a rear-end collision, the occupant of the struck car is usually injured because his head and torso move in opposite directions. The head is thrown back by the force of the crash, and the torso is first shoved forward and then backward. To minimize these forces in opposition, Delphi engineers, in effect, used the crash energy to keep passengers pressed into their seats. The engineers had a steel frame built around the outer dimension of the seat and a horizontal bar placed in the seat back as a lumbar support. On impact the head restraint rises and pushes the head forward. The head restraint stays with the seat as it moves backward, creating what Delphi calls the "catcher's mitt effect:" the head and body move together, and the seat cradles the occupant and pulls him downward on impact. A Delphi executive has said that the new system could reduce whiplash injuries by as much as 40%. Volvo, a company that has worked hard to develop a reputation for safety-mindedness, calls its anti-whiplash system WHIPS (Whiplash Protection System). Aimed at preventing or reducing neck and back injuries in a rear-end collision, the front-seat backrest moves backward and the head and upper body are supported in a uniform manner. The backrest then tips backward to prevent the forward whiplashlike movement. Electronic Stability Night Vision "It's a supplementary system," says John Smith, general manager of GM's Cadillac Division. "You're going to be able to see three to five times farther down the road than with your low beams and three times farther than with your high beams." Regular headlights allow a driver to see about 100 yards. With night vision, drivers should be able to see up to 500 yards. Automatic S.O.S. Ergonomics Contributes To Safety Putting often-used controls as close to the steering wheel as possible helps the driver maintain concentration. For example, if a sudden downpour erases visibility, the driver does not have to search for the wiper control or take his hand completely off the wheel in order to operate the switch. Proper lighting of controls and creating distinctive surfaces identifiable to the touch also aid the safety effort. If you want to adjust the climate-control system or change a radio station in the dark of night, you should not have to turn on a light, take your hand off the wheel or take your eyes off the road in order to find the desired control. More and more cars have reduced their controls to a safe common denominator. And the progress is not limited to cars. New GMC pickups allow the driver to adjust the truck's Bose sound system using controls mounted on the steering wheel. Think back to the first car you ever owned. If you're age 60 or over, there's a good chance it didn't have air-conditioning, let alone power-assisted brakes or steering. If you're 50-something, you might have had air-conditioning, but you didn't have fuel injection. Those of you who are around 40 might have had a fuel-injected engine in your first car, but you probably drove one of those choked-down monstrosities so prevalent in the early years of emission-control efforts. The 30-year-olds among you had it a lot better, but antilock brakes and traction control were still in the future. Those drivers starting out today have it far better. And, as we've seen, those who begin driving with the arrival of the millennium, or shortly thereafter, will see innovations on their cars that were once only dreams. Automakers Mull Engine Alternatives By MICHAEL WHITE LOS ANGELES (AP) Is the internal combustion engine dead? Not yet. But scientists and engineers attending the Greater Los Angeles Auto Show on Tuesday believe its days are numbered. Beyond the glitzy showroom-style displays of the latest car models from Detroit and Tokyo, auto industry representatives are talking seriously about alternative vehicles expected someday to replace today's gasoline-powered models. ``In order to survive as a company, it is absolutely essential that you provide
alternative power, power other than the internal combustion engine,'' said Frank Pereira,
brand manager for General Motors Advanced Technology Vehicles. During a presentation to journalists, Pereira said he believes the internal combustion engine will be phased out as a matter of necessity in developing countries regions considered growth markets by the auto industry. Governments and consumers are looking for vehicles that will pollute less and use less expensive fuel. Likewise, North American and European governments are pushing hard for low-polluting vehicles, he said. A variety of possible alternatives were presented during news media previews. Toyota showed off its RAV-4 electric sport utility vehicle and offered test drives of
the gasoline-electric hybrid Prius sedan. The RAV-4 is currently available in the United
States. The Prius is on sale in Japan but won't be on the U.S. market until 2000. Next week at the North American International Auto Show in Detroit, Honda plans to display its new hybrid model that will go on sale in the United States later in 1999. A General Motors display featured a small van outfitted with a fuel cell power train. GM also planned to provide details about a diesel-electric bus that will haul commuters through New York City early next year. The bus is expected to slice fuel consumption by 40 percent while cutting down on pollution. Hybrid engine technology involves combining two fuel systems to power a vehicle,
typically electricity and a conventional fossil fuel. In the case of GM's bus, the wheels
will be driven by an electric motor. A diesel engine about half the size of a conventional
bus engine will run at a steady level to keep the batteries that power the motor fully
charged. Most of the pollution from conventional diesel-powered buses results from hard acceleration. With the hybrid running at a steady state, pollution will be reduced significantly. GM is applying the hybrid technology to a commercial vehicle first because it considers that a more logical and potentially profitable use than in passenger cars. The automaker introduced its EV1 electric car at the Los Angeles show three years ago, but demand has been weak in large part because the car has limited range before its batteries need recharging at special electricity stations. In two years GM has sold only 600 versions of its EV1 electric coupe. Other
manufacturers of electric cars have had similarly disappointing results. But Pereira
likened the new cars to other consumer technologies such as the cellular telephone and
microwave oven. Both, he said, were unreliable and slow to catch on at first. Technology for alternative automobiles will improve to the point that consumers will want them, he said. During an afternoon seminar, representatives from Ford, GM and other major manufacturers said progress with alternative systems, particularly fuel cells, has moved quickly. But manufacturers' ability to successfully market such vehicles will be limited by consumer acceptance. Traditional parts suppliers may find it hard to stay in business if the new vehicles catch on during the next decade, said Steven Haycock, advanced products development manager for Detroit-based Freudenberg-NOK. The company, which specializes in seals and other components for gasoline-powered
engines is looking for ways to become a part of the alternative vehicle industry. ``We don't see a real impact for maybe 10 years,'' Haycock said. ``But you'll start to see it in four or five years. If you're not on the leading edge of the industry you could find that your corporation strategically is in a lot of trouble.'' |
The North American International Auto Show, 99NAIAS.
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